Task 2: Financial Modeling - Detailed Workflow

This document provides step-by-step instructions for executing Task 2 (Financial Modeling) of the initiating-coverage skill.

Task Overview

Purpose: Extract historical financials and build comprehensive Excel financial model with projections and scenarios.

Prerequisites: ⚠️ Verify before starting

Output: Excel Financial Model (.xlsx) with 6 essential tabs:

  1. Revenue Model
  2. Income Statement
  3. Cash Flow Statement
  4. Balance Sheet
  5. Scenarios
  6. DCF Inputs

Input Verification

BEFORE STARTING - CHECK:

Option A: Extract financials directly (most common)

Option B: User has pre-extracted financials

Optional Context:

IF VERIFICATION FAILS: Stop and obtain access to financial statements (10-K or equivalent) before proceeding.


Model Structure and Formatting

Color Coding (Industry Standard)

Formatting Standards

Formula Best Practices


Step-by-Step Modeling Workflow

Step 1: Extract Historical Financials

If historical financials are already extracted, skip to Step 2.

For Public Companies:

  1. Download 10-K Filing

  2. Create Historical Financials Excel File

  3. Extract Income Statement (3-5 years)

  4. Extract Cash Flow Statement (3-5 years)

  5. Extract Balance Sheet (3-5 years)

  6. Calculate Historical Metrics

  7. Document Sources and Notes

For Private Companies:

  1. Gather Available Data

  2. Create Simplified Historical File

Verification:

Foundation for projection model is now complete. Proceed to Step 2.

  1. Organize historical data for entry

  2. Calculate historical trends

Note: Assumptions will be documented directly in each tab as blue text inputs, not in a separate tab.

Step 2: Model Revenue

CRITICAL: This is the most important and detailed part of the model.

A. Revenue by Product/Category (20-30 rows)

Create detailed table:

                        2021A   2022A   2023A   2024A   2025E   2026E   2027E   2028E   2029E
Product Category A
  Sub-product A1        XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX
  Sub-product A2        XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX
  Sub-product A3        XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX
  Category A Total      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX
  % of Total Rev        X%      X%      X%      X%      X%      X%      X%      X%      X%
  YoY Growth %          -       X%      X%      X%      X%      X%      X%      X%      X%

Product Category B
  [Similar structure]

[Continue for all product categories]

Services Revenue        XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX
Other Revenue           XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX

TOTAL REVENUE           XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX
Total Revenue Growth %  -       X%      X%      X%      X%      X%      X%      X%      X%

Key Requirements:

B. Revenue by Geography (15-20 rows)

Create detailed table:

                        2021A   2022A   2023A   2024A   2025E   2026E   2027E   2028E   2029E
North America
  United States         XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX
  Canada                XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX
  Mexico                XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX
  NA Total              XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX
  % of Total            X%      X%      X%      X%      X%      X%      X%      X%      X%
  YoY Growth %          -       X%      X%      X%      X%      X%      X%      X%      X%

Europe
  UK                    XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX
  Germany               XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX
  France                XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX
  Other Europe          XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX
  Europe Total          XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX
  % of Total            X%      X%      X%      X%      X%      X%      X%      X%      X%
  YoY Growth %          -       X%      X%      X%      X%      X%      X%      X%      X%

Asia-Pacific
  [Similar structure]

Rest of World
  [Similar structure]

TOTAL REVENUE           XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX

Verification:

C. Revenue by Channel (if applicable)

                        2021A   2022A   2023A   2024A   2025E   2026E   2027E   2028E   2029E
Direct Sales            XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX
E-commerce/Online       XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX
Wholesale/Partner       XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX
Retail Stores
  Company-owned stores  XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX
  Store count           XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX
  Sales per store       XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX
Other Channels          XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX

TOTAL REVENUE           XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX

Step 3: Model Operating Expenses

A. Cost of Revenue

  1. Break down COGS components

  2. Link to revenue

B. R&D Expenses

Research & Development  2021A   2022A   2023A   2024A   2025E   2026E   2027E   2028E   2029E
R&D Headcount           XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX
R&D Comp per head       XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX
R&D Personnel Costs     XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX
R&D Other Costs         XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX
Total R&D               XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX
% of Revenue            X%      X%      X%      X%      X%      X%      X%      X%      X%

C. Sales & Marketing Expenses

Sales & Marketing       2021A   2022A   2023A   2024A   2025E   2026E   2027E   2028E   2029E
S&M Headcount           XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX
S&M Comp per head       XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX
S&M Personnel Costs     XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX
Marketing Spend         XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX
S&M Other Costs         XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX
Total S&M               XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX
% of Revenue            X%      X%      X%      X%      X%      X%      X%      X%      X%

D. General & Administrative

G&A                     2021A   2022A   2023A   2024A   2025E   2026E   2027E   2028E   2029E
G&A Headcount           XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX
G&A Comp per head       XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX
G&A Personnel Costs     XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX
G&A Other Costs         XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX
Total G&A               XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX
% of Revenue            X%      X%      X%      X%      X%      X%      X%      X%      X%

E. Depreciation & Amortization

Step 4: Build Income Statement

Create full P&L with 40-50 line items:

INCOME STATEMENT        2021A   2022A   2023A   2024A   2025E   2026E   2027E   2028E   2029E

REVENUE
[Link to Revenue Model tab]
Total Revenue           XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX
  YoY Growth %          -       X%      X%      X%      X%      X%      X%      X%      X%

COST OF REVENUE
[Link to COGS breakdown]
Total COGS              XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX

GROSS PROFIT            XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX
  Gross Margin %        X%      X%      X%      X%      X%      X%      X%      X%      X%

OPERATING EXPENSES
Total R&D               XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX
  % of Revenue          X%      X%      X%      X%      X%      X%      X%      X%      X%
Total S&M               XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX
  % of Revenue          X%      X%      X%      X%      X%      X%      X%      X%      X%
Total G&A               XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX
  % of Revenue          X%      X%      X%      X%      X%      X%      X%      X%      X%
Depreciation & Amort.   XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX

Total Operating Exp.    XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX
  % of Revenue          X%      X%      X%      X%      X%      X%      X%      X%      X%

EBITDA                  XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX
  EBITDA Margin %       X%      X%      X%      X%      X%      X%      X%      X%      X%

EBIT                    XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX
  EBIT Margin %         X%      X%      X%      X%      X%      X%      X%      X%      X%

Interest expense        (XX)    (XX)    (XX)    (XX)    (XX)    (XX)    (XX)    (XX)    (XX)
Interest income         XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX
Other income/(expense)  XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX

Pre-tax income          XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX

Income tax              (XX)    (XX)    (XX)    (XX)    (XX)    (XX)    (XX)    (XX)    (XX)
  Tax rate %            X%      X%      X%      X%      X%      X%      X%      X%      X%

NET INCOME              XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX
  Net Margin %          X%      X%      X%      X%      X%      X%      X%      X%      X%

SHARES OUTSTANDING
Basic shares (M)        XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX
Diluted shares (M)      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX

EARNINGS PER SHARE
Basic EPS               $X.XX   $X.XX   $X.XX   $X.XX   $X.XX   $X.XX   $X.XX   $X.XX   $X.XX
Diluted EPS             $X.XX   $X.XX   $X.XX   $X.XX   $X.XX   $X.XX   $X.XX   $X.XX   $X.XX

Step 5: Build Cash Flow Statement

CASH FLOW STATEMENT     2021A   2022A   2023A   2024A   2025E   2026E   2027E   2028E   2029E

OPERATING ACTIVITIES
Net Income              XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX
Adjustments:
  Depreciation & Amort. XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX
  Stock-based comp      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX
  Other non-cash        XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX

Changes in WC:
  Accounts Receivable   (XX)    (XX)    (XX)    (XX)    (XX)    (XX)    (XX)    (XX)    (XX)
  Inventory             (XX)    (XX)    (XX)    (XX)    (XX)    (XX)    (XX)    (XX)    (XX)
  Accounts Payable      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX
  Other working capital (XX)    (XX)    (XX)    (XX)    (XX)    (XX)    (XX)    (XX)    (XX)

Cash from Operations    XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX

INVESTING ACTIVITIES
Capital Expenditures    (XX)    (XX)    (XX)    (XX)    (XX)    (XX)    (XX)    (XX)    (XX)
Acquisitions            (XX)    (XX)    (XX)    (XX)    (XX)    (XX)    (XX)    (XX)    (XX)
Other investing         XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX

Cash from Investing     (XX)    (XX)    (XX)    (XX)    (XX)    (XX)    (XX)    (XX)    (XX)

FREE CASH FLOW          XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX
  FCF Margin %          X%      X%      X%      X%      X%      X%      X%      X%      X%

FINANCING ACTIVITIES
Debt issuance           XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX
Debt repayment          (XX)    (XX)    (XX)    (XX)    (XX)    (XX)    (XX)    (XX)    (XX)
Equity issuance         XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX
Dividends paid          (XX)    (XX)    (XX)    (XX)    (XX)    (XX)    (XX)    (XX)    (XX)
Other financing         XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX

Cash from Financing     XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX

NET CHANGE IN CASH      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX

Beginning Cash          XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX
Ending Cash             XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX

Step 6: Build Balance Sheet

Create full balance sheet with 35-45 line items:

BALANCE SHEET           2021A   2022A   2023A   2024A   2025E   2026E   2027E   2028E   2029E

ASSETS
Current Assets:
  Cash & Equivalents    XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX
  Accounts Receivable   XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX
  Inventory             XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX
  Prepaid expenses      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX
  Other current assets  XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX
Total Current Assets    XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX

Non-Current Assets:
  PP&E, gross           XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX
  Accumulated Depr.     (XX)    (XX)    (XX)    (XX)    (XX)    (XX)    (XX)    (XX)    (XX)
  PP&E, net             XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX
  Intangible assets     XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX
  Goodwill              XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX
  Other non-current     XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX
Total Non-Current       XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX

TOTAL ASSETS            XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX

LIABILITIES
Current Liabilities:
  Accounts Payable      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX
  Accrued expenses      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX
  Deferred revenue      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX
  Current debt          XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX
  Other current liab.   XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX
Total Current Liab.     XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX

Non-Current Liabilities:
  Long-term debt        XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX
  Deferred taxes        XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX
  Other non-current     XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX
Total Non-Current Liab. XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX

TOTAL LIABILITIES       XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX

EQUITY
  Common stock          XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX
  Additional paid-in    XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX
  Retained earnings     XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX
  Treasury stock        (XX)    (XX)    (XX)    (XX)    (XX)    (XX)    (XX)    (XX)    (XX)
  Other equity          XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX
TOTAL EQUITY            XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX

TOTAL LIAB + EQUITY     XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX      XX

BALANCE CHECK           OK      OK      OK      OK      OK      OK      OK      OK      OK

Balance Check Formula:

Step 7: Build DCF Inputs Tab

Prepare inputs for valuation (Task 3):

DCF INPUTS              2025E   2026E   2027E   2028E   2029E

EBIT                    XX      XX      XX      XX      XX
Tax Rate                X%      X%      X%      X%      X%
NOPAT                   XX      XX      XX      XX      XX

Add: D&A                XX      XX      XX      XX      XX
Less: CapEx             (XX)    (XX)    (XX)    (XX)    (XX)
Less: Chg in NWC        (XX)    (XX)    (XX)    (XX)    (XX)

UNLEVERED FCF           XX      XX      XX      XX      XX

Terminal Year Metrics:
  2029E Revenue         $X,XXX
  2029E EBITDA          $XXX
  2029E EBIT            $XXX
  2029E Unlevered FCF   $XXX

Step 8: Build Scenarios Tab

Create three scenarios with different assumptions:

Scenario Assumptions Table

Assumption                      Bull        Base        Bear
Revenue CAGR (2025-2029)        XX%         XX%         XX%
Gross Margin 2029E              XX%         XX%         XX%
EBITDA Margin 2029E             XX%         XX%         XX%
CapEx as % of Revenue           X%          X%          X%
[Add other key assumptions]

Scenario Output Table

Metric                          Bull        Base        Bear
2029E Revenue ($M)              $X,XXX      $X,XXX      $X,XXX
2029E EBITDA ($M)               $XXX        $XXX        $XXX
2029E EBITDA Margin             XX%         XX%         XX%
2029E Net Income ($M)           $XXX        $XXX        $XXX
2029E EPS                       $X.XX       $X.XX       $X.XX
2029E FCF ($M)                  $XXX        $XXX        $XXX
2029E FCF Margin                XX%         XX%         XX%

Cumulative FCF 2025-2029 ($M)   $XXX        $XXX        $XXX

Document scenario rationale:

Step 9: Quality Check

Verify model integrity:

  1. [ ] Test all formulas (spot check calculations)
  2. [ ] Change assumption → verify model updates correctly
  3. [ ] Test scenario switching
  4. [ ] Verify color coding (blue/black/green)
  5. [ ] Check balance sheet balances for all years
  6. [ ] Verify no circular references (Excel will flag)
  7. [ ] Check for hardcoded numbers in projections
  8. [ ] Verify all cross-sheet links work
  9. [ ] Test that revenue totals tie across all tabs
  10. [ ] Review formatting and presentation

Quality Standards

Model Integrity

Completeness

Professional Formatting

Documentation


File Naming Convention

Save the financial model as: [Company]_Financial_Model_[Date].xlsx

Example: Tesla_Financial_Model_2024-10-27.xlsx


Success Criteria

A successful financial model should:

  1. Have all 6 essential tabs (Revenue Model, Income Statement, Cash Flow Statement, Balance Sheet, Scenarios, DCF Inputs)
  2. Be fully dynamic (change assumption → model updates)
  3. Have no hardcoded numbers in projections
  4. Include detailed revenue breakdowns (20-30 rows by product, 15-20 rows by geography)
  5. Contain 40-50 line items in Income Statement
  6. Include Bull/Base/Bear scenarios
  7. Be professionally formatted with color coding
  8. Balance properly (balance sheet, cash flows)
  9. Be auditable and easy to follow
  10. Support valuation analysis with proper FCF calculations

Common Model Types - Special Considerations

High-Growth Tech/SaaS

E-commerce/Retail

Manufacturing/Industrial


Next Steps

After completing Task 2, the financial model will be used for: